David Broder thinks that Obama will be reelected in 2012 because the country will rally around him during a nuclear showdown with Iran. I don’t even recommend clicking on the link, as the article is so shoddily written that one suspects Broder thought yesterday was Friday and didn’t realize he had a column to turn in until 20 minutes before his deadline.
But it does give me an excuse to link to Jeffrey Goldberg’s article on how and when the nuclear showdown with Iran ends and the battle begins. Goldberg took some significant criticism for this work, but I think its one of the best pieces of journalism this year. The majority of his sources believe that Iran will have nuclear capability within the coming year, and that Israel will not allow Iran to gain that capability, so an attack is imminent. What I found most interesting is that the common view is that Israel would be willing to stage such an attack even if they thought it would only temporarily delay the program for as little as a year. Apparently, this was the thinking at the time of the Osirik attack as well.