Here’s where we are in Alaska. If Lisa Murkowski had been born Lisa Smith, she would already be the next senator from Alaska. Instead, we’re in recount hell.
Dave Weigel runs the math.
We have some math now: According to the Fairbanks Daily News-Miner, 7,638 ballots were counted today (so far), of which 7,571 were for Murkowski. That’s 99.12 percent of write-in votes going — or appearing to go — to Murkowski. Miller successfully knocked out 89 votes, but 678 votes for Murkowski have only been challenged — Miller wants them out, but they are not disqualified yet, barring more challenges. And so Murkowski is only winning 89.1 percent of ballots outright.
Can she win the election if around 11 percent of the write-in vote is not for her? Yes. If that pattern holds across all write-in ballots, she will have 82,425 votes. Miller only has 81,195 votes.
Additionally, of the 7,638 write-in ballots counted so far, only one has been for Joe Miller. That’s 0.01 percent. Miller’s chart explaining how he could win had him scoring 1 percent of write-ins.
There were about 92,000 ballots cast for “write-in” candidates, so about 7% of the total write-ins have been reviewed so far. 98% of the votes were clearly intended for Murkowski, but only about 89% spelled her name exactly correct.
If form holds, Murkowski would win by about 1,000 votes, assuming that a Court agrees with Miller and disqualifies votes where its completely unclear who the voter intended to vote for, such as “Lisa, Murkowski”. Perhaps that voter has a good friend named Murkowski Lisa and felt they’d be a great senator for Alaska.
The fact that Joe Miller is challenging votes like “Lisa, Murkowski” ought to be a strong indication that the man is not fit for political office. What type of person would consider it “winning” to obtain more votes by striking a write-in vote due to a stray comma or an extra vowel. This man is a joke. He is willing to put his own desire for power above the wishes of the people he is supposedly representing and as such is to dangerous to be put in a position of power.* I hope to pop open a bottle of champagne in celebration of his loss.
*Yes, yes, so is everyone else in the Senate. Not this bad. I refuse to believe that even 10% of the Senate is made up of people who would make a decision like this. Evidence to the contrary will be ignored to save my sanity.